Tuesday, April 01, 2008

Taking Western agriculture for granted

The recent surge in global food prices shows how important the "bread baskets" of western nations like the U.S, Canada are to the global food supply, and that they shouldn't be taken for granted.

The US is the world's largest grain exporter, and many countries such as Egypt are heavily dependent on US grain imports. Global grain production actually peaked about 1995, yet many developing countries haven't been doing much to try and reduce their dependence on imported grain.

Like oil, grain seems to be something which most nations, and their neo-liberal advisors, seem to take for granted.

However, rather than criticising countries like Egypt for becoming over-dependent on food imports, most commentators seem to be blaming US and European farmers for switching from the production of food grain to the production of grain for bio-fuels.

While it's right to question whether good quality agricultural land should be used to grow crops like corn and rapeseed for bio-fuels, It seems a little arrogant to automatically assert that the primary role of western agriculture is to provide cheap grain for developing countries that refuse to recognise their own overpopulation/underproduction problems.

For one thing, high food prices aren't necessarily bad news for most developing countries. High food and fuel prices give small scale third world farmers, who rely mostly on cheap labour costs, the chance to compete with large scale western agribusiness which is heavily dependent on petroleum imports for fuel and fertilizer. Central Africa, South East Asia and South America may actually benefit form rising food prices. It's mainly the arid countries, in Eastern Africa and the Middle East which have to worry.

For another thing, indebted western countries, with strong agricultural sectors, need reasonably high food prices to help pay for imports of manufactured goods from countries like China and costly petroleum imports from the Middle East.

Ultimately, sovereign states have a right to do what they think is best for their own economic security and if that includes giving bio-fuels a fair trial, that that's their business. (Admittedly, in the US case this sort of investment should have started 5 years ago, using the money subsequently wasted on the Iraq invasion, but we can't turn back the clock now).

Furthermore, the technology used in producing ethanol from corn and rapeseed may possibly be adapted to producing "second generation" bio-fuel from other plants like pine trees which can be grown on land unsuitable for food crops. At this point in time no one really knows what the potential of bio-fuels are, yet many people are already declaring them dead in the water.

Instead of being seen as another example of "western greed," the current surge in food prices should be taken as a timely warning by developing countries and their first world advisors that they need to take a more serious attitude to the issues of food production and population control.

3 comments:

Audacious Epigone said...

"For one thing, high food prices aren't necessarily bad news for most developing countries. High food and fuel prices give small scale third world farmers, who rely mostly on cheap labour costs, the chance to compete with large scale western agribusiness which is heavily dependent on petroleum imports for fuel and fertilizer."

Indeed, isn't this exactly what the US and European farmers were criticized for over the last several years prior to global uptick in food prices? Subsidies to Western agro-monsters allowed them to flood the world market and drowned out Latin American and African smaller scale competition. Damned if you do, damned if you don't!

Anonymous said...

If present immigration rates persist the US will have a half-billion population by mid-century. What becomes of the world's breadbasket then? We already have severe water problems all across the lower third of the nation. But the globalists of the right and left keep screaming "more more more" immigrants. In California -- the nation's most agriculturally productive and diverse state -- thousands of acres of prime farmland are being paved over for houses every year. We are talking perfectly flat fertile farmland with three and even four harvest seasons per year in some areas. Tough to replace that kind of perfect land and climate combination anywhere else in the world.

Anonymous said...

"Global grain production actually peaked about 1995, yet many developing countries haven't been doing much to try and reduce their dependence on imported grain."

You can partly blame the UN food program for lack of agricultural development in Africa for example. The people who work for these programs have a vested interested in their jobs never being complete. They will keep pumping free food into countries that are no longer experiencing the conditions that lead to the need for outside help. Local farmers cannot compete with free food no matter how efficient they are.

A good article on this is an interview with Kenyan libertarian economist James Shikwati
http://www.spiegel.de/international/spiegel/0,1518,363663,00.html.
And Paul Theroux(who worked for the Peace Coprs in Africa for several years) http://www.orthodoxytoday.org/articles5/TherouxAfrica.php


I live in a major wheat producing state in the US Midwest. We have a sign on the main highway that says "One Kansas farmer feeds 128 people + you!" Over the last 2 generations however, our population has shifted so that today more people live in the urban areas than rural ones. This would be due to the "agro-monsters" taking over farming as mentioned by the commenter above as well as market influence and public policies.